A Morning Walk Down Dalal Street | Nifty May Lip Towards Crucial Support Of 10,200

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A volatile day for Indian markets as bulls failed to hold on the momentum which it gathered in opening trade. The S&P BSE Sensex fell over 600 points from its intraday high to close at 34,134, down 181 points. The Nifty50 closed 58 points down at 10,245.

Most analysts attribute the fall to macro concerns, including higher crude prices and liquidity crunch which hurt the trading sentiment.

The fall in the S&P BSE Sensex was led by losses in Reliance Industries, IndusInd Bank, Kotak Bank, Infosys, and Asian Paints. Financials gave up all of their gains and were a drag on the benchmarks.

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5 Value Buys That Could Return 11-16% Return In 1-2 Months

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The markets got off to a positive start for the week following positive global cues. The Nifty closed at 10,853, up 0.74 percent on Monday. The index formed a ‘Hanging Man’ kind of candlestick pattern on the daily chart, which is a reversal pattern.

The index has managed to close above the falling resistance line connecting the high of 11,172 after previous failed attempts. The daily moving average convergence divergence (MACD) line has given a positive crossover, with its average suggesting that the consolidation phase is now over.

If it continues to hold above 10,790, the index can rally initially towards 10,929 and then possibly towards 11,100 levels.

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A Morning Walk Down Dalal Street: Nifty Needs To Hold 10,800 For Further Upside

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What a day it has been for equity markets – Sensex is now on the verge of reclaiming 36,000 while the Nifty50 is back above 10,850 levels, thanks to solid global cues.

Global shares hit a two-week high as favorable US jobs data lifted risk appetites. The India VIX was down 0.30 percent as overseas investors set aside concerns about escalating trade tensions between US and China.

On the sectoral front, heavy buying was seen in banking, healthcare and metals stocks. All the sectoral indices on the National Stock Exchange (NSE) closed the day with strong gains

Nifty has closed above the 10,840 mark trend line resistance, which can pave the way for the benchmark to look forward for next crucial level of 10,893. Well, a close above this would mean that the Nifty can scale a new high in the next 1-2 months if the momentum sustains, experts suggest.

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Live Stock Market Updates - Nifty Above 10,050 level with Airtel leading The Telecom Sector

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Some buying activity is seen in basic materials, energy, finance, IT, Telecom, industrials and Utilities, and Realty on BSE. Bharti Airtel, Infratel, Bajaj Auto, Axis Bank and M&M are among the gainers, whereas HUL, Coal India, Maruti, ITC, and Indiabulls Housing Finance are losing steam on NSE.

he Indian Stock market opened higher with Bharti Airtel leading the Telecom sector into the green. Asian Markets have opened higher taking cues from the strong US market.

At 10:03 AM, the S&P BSE Sensex is trading at 32,093, up by 168 points, while NSE Nifty is trading at 10,065 up by 48 points.

The BSE Mid-cap Index is trading up by 0.6% at 15935 whereas BSE Small-cap Index is trading up by 0.78% at 16892.

Bharti Airtel, Infratel, Bajaj Auto, Axis Bank and M&M are among the gainers, whereas HUL, Coal India, Maruti, ITC, and Indiabulls Housing Finance are losing steam on NSE.

Bajaj Corp stock gains after 15.6 lakh shares change hands in a block deal.

Nifty Realty Index up 1%. DLF, HDIL (+2%), Godrej Prop (+1.5%), Oberoi Realty, Indiabulls Real Estate (+1%).

Avenue at fresh record high, stock rallies 4%.

FDC stock gains 3% as UK drug body clears Goa unit-1.

Punj Llyod stock down 2%; lenders order forensic audit of accounts.

Some buying activity is seen in basic materials, energy, finance, IT, Telecom, industrials and Utilities, and Realty on BSE.

The INDIA VIX is down by 2.87% at 10.7925

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Stocks Close To Their 52-W Low On Friday

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Benchmark index BSE Sensex is trading at 31,766.43, up by 174.40 points or 0.55%; while Nifty is trading at 9956.95, up by 68.25 points or 0.69% on Friday

While the BSE Mid-Cap index is trading up by 0.83% at 15,822.07; and BSE Small-cap Index is trading up by 1.10% at 16,630.42.

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Wall Street Ends Slightly Lower As Earnings Worries Linger

US stocks ended marginally lower on Thursday as lingering worries about upcoming corporate earnings reports offset enthusiasm about a trio of soaring Wall Street debuts. Weighing on the S&P 500 were Apple and General Electric, which is expected to report its first-quarter results on Friday before the start of trading. The S&P 500's top gainer, Netflix, closed 18.21 percent higher a day after the video streaming service posted better-than-expected results.

Shares of Etsy Inc, an online marketplace for handmade goods and crafts, finished 87.5 percent higher and private-equity backed Party City's stock jumped 21.77 percent in their IPOs. The stock of electronic trading firm Virtu Financial Inc closed 16.74 percent higher in its market debut in a sign that public angst over high-frequency trading is waning. The Dow Jones industrial average fell 6.84 points, or 0.04 percent, to end at 18,105.77. The S&P 500 lost 1.64 points, or 0.08 percent, to 2,104.99 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 3.23 points, or 0.06 percent, to 5,007.79.

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Asian Stocks Open Lower After Soft US Finish

Asian equities headed south early Friday, tracking an unimpressive lead from their US peers overnight. The major US indices settled marginally lower on Thursday, hurt by lingering worries about upcoming earnings reports. "The benign data reads in the US saw a flat finish on Wall Street. This trading momentum is likely to translate into the final day's trade of the week in Asia," Evan Lucas, IG's market strategist.

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Nifty Breaks 8700; TCS Falls 1% Ahead Of Q4 Earnings

The Sensex fell 131.97 points to 28667.72 and the Nifty dropped below 8700, down 51.40 points to 8698.80. The broader markets also declined. The BSE Midcap and Smallcap indices fell over half a percent. With clarity emerging on FY16 subsidy sharing. The finance ministry on Wednesday communicated to the oil ministry that it will fully compensate oil marketing companies for Q4 under-recoveries of FY15. The finance ministry has agreed to pay Rs 5300 crore for under-recoveries of OMCs, exempting upstream oil companies from sharing the burden. the government will be paying the entire FY16 LPG subsidy through direct transfer, and upstream oil companies will be exempt from the same. But upstream PSU oil companies will have to share the entire under-recovery associated with kerosene. This scenario is in line with Goldman Sach's estimates for upstream companies, improving the cashflow visibility for OMCs as it forecasts no subsidy payment in Q4 for OIL/ONGC and the FY16 realization is further based in line with its estimate of USD 50/bbl. "We believe the above scenario would be modestly positive for OMCs as direct transfer of cash by the government would further reduce working capital requirements for OMCs, thus improving earnings and cashflow visibility. Currently OMCs are transferring cash to customer accounts, for which they are reimbursed by the government."

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Wall Street Ends Higher After Bounce In Oil Prices

The Dow and S&P 500 ended higher on Tuesday, helped by energy stocks and quarterly earnings reports that topped modest expectations following worries about a strong dollar. Shares of Exxon Mobil, Chevron and other energy companies followed crude higher after a forecast that US shale oil output in May would record its first monthly decline in more than four years. The S&P 500 energy index jumped 1.77 percent. Norfolk Southern Corp dropped 4.18 percent to USD 100.49 a day after it forecast a surprise drop in its first-quarter earnings and revenue. A strong dollar, cheap oil and poor weather in the eastern United States in recent months have investors bracing for a difficult March-quarter earnings season. First-quarter profits for S&P 500 companies are seen falling 2.9 percent, according to Thomson Reuters data. On Jan. 1, analysts had been looking for growth of 5.3 percent. 

The Dow Jones industrial average rose 59.66 points, or 0.33 percent, to end at 18,036.7. The S&P 500 gained 3.41 points, or 0.16 percent, to 2,095.84 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 10.96 points, or 0.22 percent, to 4,977.29, with Apple down 0.43 percent. After the bell, Intel Corp forecast revenue broadly in line with Wall Street's low expectations and signaled a hefty cut in capital expenditures this year, sending its shares up 2.6 percent. U.S. railroad CSX Corp reported a higher quarterly net profit and announced a USD 2 billion share repurchase program, sending its shares 3.43 percent higher in extended trade. During the regular session, Chevron's shares gained 2.2 percent and Exxon rose 1.5 percent. Nokia Oyj is in talks to buy Alcatel-Lucent SA, a deal that would combine the telecommunications industry's two weakest players. US shares of Nokia fell 4.09 percent to USD 7.96 while Alcatel rose 13.33 percent to USD 4.93.

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SEBI Under Fire Over IPO Bottleneck

The Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI), under pressure to tighten scrutiny, is taking as long as a year to approve initial public offerings, prompting criticism from firms already grappling with unpredictable demand and a lack of alternative funding sources. India's stock market has soared, touching record highs last month. It was Asia's second-best performer last year, thanks largely to more than $16 billion of foreign investment. But the boom has failed to translate into many IPOs, a vital source of capital especially for small companies which make up the bulk of the economy yet often struggle to access keenly priced bank loans. Investor demand has been lukewarm, and India has seen lacklustre debuts in 2015. Private equity firms, key drivers of the market, have also struggled to exit through listings that would in many cases crystallise losses.

But some bankers and companies say delays in the review of listing documents by the SEBI are complicating the listing process, jeopardising billions of dollars of extra liquidity for Indian shares.

"Getting an approval takes a lot of time, and after that, unless you have four or five merchant bankers willing to underwrite the whole issue, it becomes very difficult to raise money," said Nevil Savjani, vice president at boutique merchant banker Corporate Strategic Allianz Limited. "SEBI's guideline is that they approve it within 30 days, after an in-principle nod from the stock exchanges. But generally, if you look at any of the IPOs it takes it at least one year."

The time regulators take to approve listing prospectuses can vary depending on everything from the quality of the document to the amount of IPOs in the pipeline. But Hong Kong, for example, typically takes a month or two, and no longer than six months. It also wants to prevent a repeat of cases like property developer DLF, penalised by SEBI last year for disclosure problems around its record 2007 listing. The penalty was overturned on appeal. Inox Wind Ltd (INWN.NS), an alternative energy firm which began trading this month, had to wait for a year before its listing plans were approved. Its bankers, awaiting a favourable moment, took another eight months to get the shares to market.

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Broader Market Outshines Sensex In April : Top 10 Midcap Stocks To Track This Earnings Season

The S&P BSE Midcap index has risen a little over 5 per cent as compared to a 3.8 per cent rally seen in the BSE Sensex so far in the month of April. According to experts, mid and small cap shares have outperformed large cap peers on hopes that these companies may spring earning surprises over the next couple of quarters. The BSE Mid Cap Index has rallied 7.5% in the past two weeks, while the BSE Small Cap Index has surged nearly 15%. The Sensex has gained 5.75% in the same period. 

The CMX Midcap, CNX Smallcap and Nifty Junior hit all-time high on Monday on the back of sustained buying activity. This is a classical bull-run effect. The Nifty Midcap 50 has given a breakout. That is where possibly action would be and as long as the Nifty starts breaking below levels of around 8720-8730. The midcap stocks have been on a tear in India. They have outperformed the large caps by 20% over the past year and the P/E multiple is at a 25% premium, the highest in at least ten years.

The BSE Mid Cap Index is currently at 30.28 times, while the Sensex is trading at 19.95 times its reported earnings. The BSE Small Cap Index closed at 11,942 on Monday, which is about 20% below its all-time high of 14,239 made in January 2008. Some of the midcap and small cap indices have actually bounced back in a very big way after falling to multi-year low in 2013. "If we look at the calendar year 2013, we had a huge depression in the midcap and small cap stocks. That is somewhat now easing. FY15 has been a story of the midcap and small cap stocks and that is where the confidence has come back from a lot of equity investors.

We have collated a list of top 10 midcap companies which investors should look at buying on dips as they declare results for the quarter ended March 31 in April.

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China Equities Stay At 7-Year Highs Despite Trade Data Miss

Chinese shares led gains among regional peers to touch fresh seven-year highs early Monday, while Japan's Nikkei 225 struggled to find momentum as it remained a whisker away from the key 20,000-point mark. On Friday, US stocks finished higher, with the blue-chip Dow breaching 18,000 for the first time this month, as investors looked ahead to the official start of earnings season. While some companies like Alcoa have already reported quarterly earnings, the earnings season will get into full swing with reports from Dow components like JPMorgan Chase and Intel.

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Wall Street Week Ahead : US Stocks Look To Extend Breakout

US stocks are poised for more upward momentum even as uncertainty over oil prices and Greek debt negotiations keeps the market on tenterhooks. US company earnings and signs of an overall improving economy, alongside what appears to be the start of a bottoming in crude oil prices, have given equities support. After starting 2015 with its sharpest monthly drop in a year and a spike in volatility, the benchmark S&P 500 .SPX hit an intraday record on Friday while the Dow Jones Industrial Average .DJI reached its highest point so far this year. As "stocks have found a footing, people aren't as afraid of the potential negative" stemming from recent instability in oil prices and Greece. "That's allowed stocks to start breaking out of the channel that they've been stuck in since the beginning of the year." Volatility seems to abating. The CBOE Market Volatility Index .VIX, Wall Street's fear gauge, oscillated between 15 and 24 for most of 2015, rising over its historical mean of 20 during 15 of the year's 30 trading days so far. Its 20-day moving average hit its highest since mid-2012 earlier this month. But on Friday, the VIX fell to its lowest level this year, briefly trading below 15. That, together with a rising market, could be a promising sign. "Market breadth, while it hasn't been wonderful, has been positive.

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GE Sparks Broad Wall St Rally : Indexes Post Weekly Gains

US stocks ended a strong week with a broad rally on Friday as investors lauded GE's decision to divest most of its high-risk GE Capital business and repurchase up to USd 50 billion of its shares. All 10 primary S&P 500 sectors ended up on the day but the S&P Industrials index, driven by gains in GE shares, was by far the best performer and rose 1.5 percent. General Electric rose 10.8 percent to USD 28.51, hitting its highest level since September 2008 after it said there was potential to return more than USD 90 billion to investors through 2018. Friday marked the biggest one-day jump for the stock, as well as the most active session, since March 2009. More than 351 million shares changed hands, making GE the most active name on the New York Stock Exchange by far. It was also the S&P 500's biggest percentage gainer.

The Dow Jones industrial average rose 98.92 points, or 0.55 percent, to 18,057.65, the S&P 500 gained 10.88 points, or 0.52 percent, to 2,102.06 and the Nasdaq Composite added 21.41 points, or 0.43 percent, to 4,995.98. For the week, the Dow is up 1.6 percent, the S&P is up 1.7 percent and the Nasdaq is up 2.3 percent. Both the Dow and S&P notched their second straight week of gains, helped by a pickup in merger activity. Investors are looking ahead to the first-quarter earnings season. While some companies reported this week, next week will see results from a number major firms, including several banks. Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by 1,782 to 1,232, for a 1.45-to-1 ratio on the upside; on the Nasdaq, 1,603 issues rose and 1,100 fell for a 1.46-to-1 ratio favoring advancers. The benchmark S&P 500 index was posting 26 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite was recording 93 new highs and 21 new lows. About 5.47 billion shares traded on all U.S. platforms, according to BATS exchange data, down from the month-to-date average of 6.22 billion.

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Sensex Under Pressure : Pharma Stocks Slip, Idea Gains 3%

Nuziveedu Seeds, in which the Blackstone Group holds a 25 percent stake, is set to file for a market listing to raise up to USD 200 million, report media quoting unnamed sources. Nuziveedu, which could file as early as next week, has hired JPMorgan, JM Financial Services and Axis Capital as lead managers, the sources said. They declined to be named as the information is not yet public. Blackstone, which invested USD 54 million in the company in 2008, will make a part-exit with a near four times return on a seven-year-old investment. One other source said the filing could be completed within a week.

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