A Morning Walk Down Dalal Street | RBI Could Raise Rates By 25 Bps Nifty May Continue To Remain Weak

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It was nothing short of bloodbath on D-Street as the S&P BSE Sensex fell by over 800 points while the Nifty50 broke below its crucial support placed at 200-days SMA and closed at 10,559.

Selling was witnessed across all segments with OMCs taking a beating after the FM announced a cut in fuel prices by Rs 2.5 and the burden to be borne by OMC.

Earnings of OMCs will be negatively impacted as they will have to absorb Re 1/litre on the auto fuel price (petrol and diesel), which will result into sharp decline in the auto fuel marketing margin, suggest experts.

The rupee plunged to a new all-time low of 73.81 against the US dollar. In last 15 minutes of the trade, rupee recouped 23 from the low, to settle at 73.57. On a year-to-date (YTD) basis, rupee has witnessed a fall of almost 16 percent against the dollar.

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Podcast | Stock Picks Of The Day Nifty Likely To Consolidate 3 Stocks Which Could Give 7-10% Return

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The Nifty started the session slightly lower on Wednesday and slipped below the previous day’s low towards the closing which not a bullish sign. For the last three trading sessions, the index has been finding support a bit above the 200-days EMA on the daily frame charts.

The last candle has a very small upper wick which suggests selling pressure around the day’s high. In the market, auto stocks ended the session as worst performer whereas metal stocks outperformed the benchmark index for the day.

The volatility index India, VIX, has witnessed a spurt of 8.16 percent during the day. On the options front, 11000 and 11200 Calls added most open interest (OI) whereas 10,700 and 10,500 Puts ended as most active.

Going forward, the Nifty is likely to consolidate within a narrow range of 200 points starting from 10,800 on the downside and 11,000 on the upside.

A decisive breakout on either side will confirm the future trend for the index. A breakdown from the lower band of 10,800 may trigger a selling pressure which may take the index towards 10,500.

On the other hand, 11,000 may act as an immediate resistance, and if the index manages to trade above 11,000 then we may see a rally towards 11,200 levels.

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Markets Set To Open Flat Ahead Of Weekly Bank Nifty Expiry

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SGX Nifty is currently trading in the green, up 4 points at 11,363. Traders would be looking at earnings season. This has got off to a solid start for further cues, which could lead the markets higher.

Bank Nifty could be volatile in trade today ahead of the weekly expiry. It currently is facing a resistance at the 28,000 mark.

Godrej Properties, Marico and Torrent Pharmaceuticals are some of the large-cap companies that are set to announce their Q1 result today.

Global markets: Major Asian markets are trading with a negative bias at present. Nikkei is down 0.42%, Hang Seng is down 1.42%, while Shanghai Composite is trading 0.96% lower.

US Markets: Stocks ended on a mixed note in the yesterday’s trading session, after the Federal Reserve's announcement of its widely expected decision to leave interest rates unchanged. The Nasdaq climbed 0.5% to 7,707.29 level, the Dow fell 0.3% to 25,333.82 and the S&P 500 edged down 0.1% to 2,813.36. The tech-heavy Nasdaq benefited from a significant surge in the shares of Apple, which gained 5.9% after posting a better than expected earnings and providing strong guidance.

European markets also closed in red yesterday with the FTSE down 1.25%; CAC was down 0.24% while DAX closed 0.54% lower.

FII Data: In the yesterday’s trading session, FIIs sold 95cr stock in the cash market, whereas DIIs sold 562cr worth of stock. In the derivative market, FII’s bought 1,208cr of Index futures and sold 107cr worth of Index options. In the Stock futures segment, FII’s bought 41cr worth of stock futures and bought 21cr stock options.

FII View: In the yesterday’s trading session, FII continued to build bullish positions in the derivatives market, which is deduced by the fact that they created 11,451 long contracts in Index Futures, while simultaneously creating 8,908 short contracts in Index Put Options. The long-short ratio in Index Futures is currently stands at 1.5x.

FII	OI (in000's)	% Chg	% Chg  Since Expiry	Long/ Short Ratio	Long/Short  Since Expiry
Index Long	158	8	34	1.5	1.1
Index Short	103	(1)	22
Index Call Long	175	1	21	3.3	0.9
Index Call Short	53	9	35
Index Put Long	257	4	11	2.0	0.7
Index Put Short	130	7	53

 

Support / Resistance: Intraday	Nifty: 11346
S1 – 11250	S2-11180
R1-  11400	R2 -11500

 

Support / Resistance: Intraday	Bank Nifty: 27596
S1 – 27450	S2-27200
R1 - 27800	R2 -28000

Nifty Highest Open Interest: Call: 11500 / Put: 11000
Bank Nifty Highest Open interest: (2nd Aug 2018 Expiry) Call: 28000 / Put: 27000
Securities in Ban Period: Nil

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Buy Nifty On Dips Today, Tech Mahindra For The Short-Term

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The Nifty ended Wednesday 0.41 percent lower at 10,570.55. For the third consecutive session, it continued to oscillate below 10,640 levels. Ending the session with a bearish body candle stands invalid as long as it remains stuck in the price band of 10,640 to 10,530. Hence, buying on dips around 10,530 and 10,480 can again be seen. On the flipside, 10,640 on the upside still remains the critical hurdle before a rise towards 10,670 levels.

On the Nifty hourly chart, negative divergence in the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is still intact, which may continue to building selling pressure on a rise around 10,640 levels. Downside supports for the index are placed around 10,530 and 10,480 levels.


Nifty patterns on multiple timeframes shows that it continues to oscillate below 10,640 levels. Rangebound movement with a positive bias may not be that encouraging for the bulls. Hence, cautious trading is advised. However, sector and stock specific volatility is going to be the dominant feature ahead of today’s April series futures and options (F&O) expiry.

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Market Update: Sensex, Nifty Crack Post Budget; IT, Pharma outperforms, ITC Top Gainer, SBI Falls 1%

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The market breadth was in favour of the declines on Friday morning with 222 stocks advancing while 1383 stocks declined and 409 stocks remained unchanged. On the BSE, 348 stocks advanced while 1766 stocks declined and 64 remained unchanged.The market did not take Budget 2018 in the right stride with the introduction of long-term capital gains tax on sale of listed securities on gains of over Rs 1 lakh. The Finance Minister introduced a long-term capital gains tax of 10 percent if the gains exceed Rs 100,000 without allowing the benefit of indexation.

However, all gains till January 31, 2018 will be grandfathered and short term capital gains remains unchanged at 15 percent.

The Nifty was down 80 points or 0.71 percent on Friday morning and was trading below the 11K mark at 10,938 while the Sensex fell 256 points and was trading at 35,650. The fall in the benchmark indices was aided by midcaps, the Bank Nifty and the Infra space.

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The Higher-Level Nifty Could Test 10040

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Pre-Market Monday! Asian market negative territory Nifty50 on the SGX were trading at 10025 +3 points on indicating gap flat opening for the NSE.

On Monday, The Nifty gained 9.05 points or 0.09% to settle at 9988.75 flat gained 9 points and further momentum to hit the intraday high of 10,015.75 and intraday lows of 9,959.45.

The biggest gainers of the session on the Nifty50 were YES BANK Ltd, which rose 1.69% points to trade at 372 at the close. TECH MAHINDRA added 1.50% points to end at 463.70 and COAL INDIA. was up 1.46% in late trade.

Biggest losers included AURPPHARMA, which lost 2.21% points to trade at 729.55 in late trade. ONGC declined 1.75% points to end at 170.80 and POWERGRID shed 1.73% end

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Live Stock Market Updates - Sensex Nifty Trade Flat Realty Power Stocks Down

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Share indices recouped early losses and gained, with the Nifty 50 crossing the benchmark 10000-mark for the first time in three weeks.

Gold prices climbed to their highest in more than a week today as renewed concerns over North Korea's nuclear ambitions stoked safe-haven demand for the precious metal and weighed on the dollar.

At 11:32 AM, the S&P BSE Sensex is trading at 31,865 up 51 points, while NSE Nifty is trading at 9,988 up mere eight points.

The BSE Mid-cap Index is trading marginally down at 15,835, whereas BSE Small-cap Index is trading up 0.5% at 16,709.

Dr.Reddy’s, Coal India, IndusInd Bank and Tata Steel are among the gainers, whereas Power Grid, ONGC, Aurobindo and Indiabulls HF are losing sheen on NSE.

Tata Teleservices stock tanks 12% on reports that the company is likely to wind down operations in phases.

Sobha stock zooms over 6.5% as Jul-Sept realty sales up 8% on quarter.

Kalpataru Power's stock advances 1% on announcement of new order win.

JSPL gets Rs 1,121 Cr on divestment of oxygen plant assets at Angul & Raigarh units. Stock zooms 4.5%.

Jewellers stocks gain as norms for buying jewellery above Rs 50,000 relaxed. TBZ, Thangamayil Jewellery stock climbs over 5%.

SPARC stock drops 8% after Baclofen GRS did not meet primary end point in placebo controlled studies.

Yarn stocks gain after GST on man made yarn reduced from 18% to 12%. Banswara stock gains 4%.

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Top Open Interest Gainers On Friday

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Open interest and share prices of Jubilant Food works, Tata Steel, NTPC, Biocon and Tata Chemicals have witnessed long build up positions during Friday’s trading session.

Jubilant and Tata Chemicals have traded on fresh 52-week highs of Rs 1,555 per share and Rs 687.75 per share, respectively.

Sectoral indices on BSE were trading with positive sentiments wherein BSE Metal index was the top gainer.

There are 1,176 advances, 458 declines and 330 unchanged stocks, indicating a positive undertone floating in the market.

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Top Open Interest Losers On Friday

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Open interest and share prices of BEML, Union Bank, Mahanagar Gas and Jaiprakash Associates have witnessed short covering positions during Friday’s trade

Sectoral indices on NSE were trading with strong positive undertone wherein Nifty Metal was the top index gainer.

Broader market indices were trading in positive zone, gaining nearly half a percent. The BSE Mid-cap Index is trading up 0.88% at 15,829, while BSE Small-cap Index is trading up 1.16% at 16,639 level.

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Nifty Hits 7,500 Level

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The S&P BSE Sensex is trading at 24,666 up 313 points, while NSE Nifty is trading at 7,497 up 93 points.

The BSE Mid-cap Index is trading up 1.48% at 10,168 whereas BSE Small-cap Index is trading up 0.86% at 10,455. Lupin, Axis Bank, Cipla, DR Reddy, TATA Motors are among the gainers, whereas GAIL, Adani Ports, Maruti, NTPC and, Reliance are losing sheen on BSE.

Some buying activity is seen in Metal, pharma, Banking, Basic Materials, Finance while Utlity and I.T sectors are showing weakness on BSE. The INDIA VIX is down 0.12% at 18.1850. Out of 1,786 stocks traded on the NSE, 527 declined , 991 advanced and 268 remained unchanged today.

A total of 12 stocks registered a fresh 52-week high in trades today, while 52 stocks touched a new 52-week low on the NSE.

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Sensex Crosses 250 Points

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The BSE Sensex is trading at 24,447, up 253 points and touched an intra-day high of 24,449 and low of 24,279. The NSE Nifty is trading at 7,449 up 87 points, hitting a high of 7,457 and low of 7,382.

The BSE Mid-cap Index and BSE Small-cap Index is trading up at 1%.

Out of 1,784 stocks traded on the NSE, 451 declined and 1043 advanced today. L&T, ONGC, Adani Ports and Asian Paints are among the gainers, whereas Lupin, GAIL, NTPC are losing sheen on BSE.

The key Q3 results  include Arvind Ltd, Bajaj Auto, Berger Paints, Fortis Healthcare, GSPL, Hawkins, Heidelberg Cement, Ingersoll-Rand India, Inox Leisure, JK Lakshmi Cement, Mphasis Ltd, MT Educare, OnMobile, Poly Medicure, Sanofi India, Solar Industries, Talwalkars, Tata Steel, Torrent Pharma, Trent Ltd and ZF Steering.

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