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Equity benchmarks snapped their five-week winning streak last week and formed a small bearish candle carrying a higher high and higher low with sizeable upper shadow, indicating profit booking at higher levels. In line with our view, the Nifty maintained its rhythm of not forming more than five weekly bull candles as the current round of profit-booking emerged precisely after five week’s rally from March lows (9,952-10,785).
Going forward, we expect the Nifty to form a strong base in the broader range of 10,500–10,750 and eventually move out of the upper band of consolidation (10,750) to head towards 10,950 levels. We expect the index to continue with its base formation in the broader range of 10,750-10,500 in the near-term, with stock specific activity remaining in focus amid elevated volatility as we approach the upcoming Karnataka elections.
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