Friday 31 August 2018



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Equities have given up all their gains on Friday morning, with the Nifty trading below 11,700. A sharp selloff in metals, banks as well as energy names is weighing on indices. Meanwhile, pharmaceuticals continue to trade higher, led by gains in Sun Pharmaceuticals. 

Midcaps have continued to outperform the benchmarks, gaining over quarter of a percent. Among gainers are Adani Ports, Wipro, HCL Tech and Bharti Infratel, while Yes Bank and Vedanta have lost the most. 

The Sensex is down 11.73 points or 0.03% at 38678.37, while the Nifty is up 5.20 points or 0.04% at 11682.00. The market breadth is positive as 1,247 shares advanced, against a decline of 922 shares, while 144 shares are unchanged.

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The Nifty50 continued its northward journey and registered a fresh all-time high of 11,760.20 during the Tuesday’s trading session.

Subsequently, the rise in crude oil prices along with the depreciation of Indian Rupee against US Dollar put pressure on the index which led to decent profit booking.

On daily charts, Nifty is forming a bearish divergence, therefore, the possibility of further profit booking can’t be ruled out even from current levels.


However, the daily higher top higher bottom formation is intact which indicate that the current trend is up.


At this juncture, Monday’s low of 11,595 will act as an immediate support and a break below 11595 will drag Nifty further lower towards 10530 – 11470 levels respectively.

On the higher side, the recent swing high of 11760 will act as an immediate hurdle above which index likely to rally towards 11835.

For September series, we expect overall markets to consolidate in the broad range of 11500-11850 where every pullback on the higher side can be utilized to book profit in trading long positions.

Call writing at 11800 and 12000 level strike option will prove as stiff resistance zone for nifty whereas put writing at 11600-11500 will provide strong support in the short term.

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Nifty likely To Open Lower 3 Stocks Which Could Give 9-13% Return

Posted by suhani varma on Friday, August 31, 2018 with No comments

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The Nifty50 is likely to open lower on Friday following a mixed trend seen in other Asian markets. The index closed 15 points lower at 11,676 on Thursday.

Trends on SGX Nifty indicate a flat to negative opening for the broader index in India, a fall of 10 points or 0.09 percent. Nifty futures were trading around 11,749-level on the Singaporean Exchange.

US stocks ended their four-day winning streak on Thursday as trade anxieties resurfaced and investors sold risk ahead of the long Labor Day holiday weekend, said a Reuters report.


Asian shares came under renewed pressure on Friday after reports US President Donald Trump was preparing to step up a trade war with Beijing and ready to impose more tariffs on Chinese imports, it said.

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Trade Setup For Friday Top 15 Things To Know Before Opening Bell

Posted by suhani varma on Friday, August 31, 2018 with No comments

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The Nifty50 continued to be rangebound for the second consecutive session and closed the August expiry day on a flat note with a negative bias on Thursday. The index opened flat and remained weak throughout the session, forming small bearish candle, which resembles like a 'Hammer' kind of pattern on the daily candlestick charts.


The market recovered from intraday low in the late trade but that does not change the short term outlook, experts said, adding the index is expected to be weak and remained in a consolidation mode.


The Nifty Midcap index continued to outperform frontline indices, rising 0.13 percent while the sectoral trend remained mixed with Nifty Bank, Auto and Financial Service falling around half a percent each. FMCG and Pharma indices gained over a percent each.


The Nifty50 opened below 11,700-mark at 11,694.75, tad higher over previous day's close of 11,691.90. In early trade itself, it touched an intraday high of 11,698.80 but immediately turned lower to hit an intraday low of 11,639.70 (down 52 points) in the last hour of trade. It managed to recoup some losses in the late trade and closed 15.10 points lower at 11,676.80.

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The Nifty50 might have closed lower on the August expiry day but it rallied 4.5 percent or a little over 500 points in August series to touch new highs above 11700.

A couple of factors which started weighing on investor sentiment is falling rupee as well as rise in crude oil prices which are a threat to our current account deficit, as well as trade war woes.

Washington has proposed slapping tariffs on a further USD 200 billion worth of Chinese goods after a public comment period ends on Wednesday, September 5, said a Reuters report.


The Indian rupee fell further by 23 paise against the US dollar to trade at a lifetime low of 70.82

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Thursday 30 August 2018


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Share price of Greaves Cotton touched 52-week high of Rs 159.90, rising 9.5 percent in morning trade as company board approved acquisition of majority stake in Ampere Vehicles.

The board has approved the proposal of investment in Ampere Vehicles by acquiring 67 percent in the first phase and further 13 percent in a span of three years.

This acquisition will accelerate the development of clean energy technology solutions for mobility needs of passengers and small businesses, company said in release.

The company to acquire 67 percent stake in Ampere for Rs 77 crore, which to be completed by December 31, 2018, while for another 13 percent stake the company to shell out another Rs 75.5 crore.
One big reason why INR is behaving in this fashion is due to its sensitivity to oil prices which is very high. The market is generally differentiating between the current account deficit and current account surplus nations. In a way, INR is suffering due to current account deficit and its price sensitivity to oil prices.

We expect the INR to head towards 71-72/$ but in the near-term there is a higher likelihood of consolidation at current levels.

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Podcast | Stock Picks Of The Day 2 Largecaps That Could Return Up To 11%

Posted by suhani varma on Thursday, August 30, 2018 with No comments


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The Nifty took a breather on Wednesday, amid profit booking in recently run-up stocks, ahead of the expiry of August series. The broader markets relatively outperformed as the Nifty Midcap index gained 0.5 percent and the Nifty Smallcap index inched up 0.1 percent for the session.The price action formed a small bear candle, signifying profit booking at record highs after the 400 points rally in the preceding seven sessions.


Going forward, we expect the Nifty to maintain buoyancy and eventually head towards 11,925 levels in coming weeks given the robust price structure.

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After rallying about 3 percent in the month of August, Nifty took a breather and witnessed a profit booking decline on Wednesday. It closed below 11700 levels a day ahead of F&O expiry.

Rise in crude oil prices due to withholding of supply by Iran as well as a depreciating rupee too added to the negative sentiment.

For today, markets are expected to remain volatile ahead of August derivative expiry. Looking at the F&O data, the expiry should happen in the range of 11500-11800


History suggests that markets witness extreme action on either side in the last one hour of the trading session.

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Markets Set To Open On A Positive Note Ahead Of Aug Expiry

Posted by suhani varma on Thursday, August 30, 2018 with No comments

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SGX Nifty is currently trading 22 points higher at 11725. Markets are expected to be volatile in today’s trade as we come to the end of the Aug series. Nifty currently has highest open interest build up at the 11800 CE strike, which is the immediate resistance for the Index.

Global markets: Asian markets are trading on a mixed note; Hang Seng is down 0.24%, Shanghai Composite is up 0.19%, while Nikkei is trading 0.15% higher.
US Markets: Stocks extended the positive rally in yesterday’s trade with S&P 500 and Nasdaq managing to close at record highs and the Dow Jones closing at seven-month highs. The Dow rose 0.2% to 26,124, the Nasdaq jumped 1% to 8,109.69 while the S&P 500 climbed 0.6% to 2,914.04. The tech-heavy Nasdaq was lead by gains in Amazon and Google parent Alphabet which surged up by 3.4 percent and 1.5 percent respectively. There was also optimism about a revival of trade talks between the U.S., Canada, and Mexico which was taken positively by the traders.

European markets closed on a mixed note yesterday’s trading session with FTSE down 0.71%, the CAC up 0.30% while DAX closed 0.27% higher.

FII Data: In yesterday’s trading session FIIs sold 1415 crores stock in the cash market whereas DIIs bought 1114 crores worth of stock. In the derivative market, FIIs sold 995 crores of Index futures and sold 695 crores worth of Index options. In the Stock futures segment, FIIs bought 723 crores worth of stock futures and sold 159 crores stock options.

FII View: In yesterday’s trading session FII created bearish positions in the derivative market which is deduced by the fact that they created 9750 short contracts in Index Futures, while simultaneously reducing 9577 long contracts in Index Call Options.

FIIOI
(in000's)
% Chg% Chg 
Since Expiry
Long/
Short Ratio
Long/Short
 Since Expiry
Index Long192(1)621.00.7
Index Short1866120
Index Call Long207(4)433.51.0
Index Call Short59(7)50
Index Put Long3043311.40.5
Index Put Short2105146
 
Support / Resistance: IntradayNifty: 11691
S1 – 11680S2-11600
R1-  11760R2 -11820
 
Support / Resistance: IntradayBank Nifty: 28224
S1 – 28000S2-27800
R1 - 28400R2 -28500


Nifty Highest Open Interest:
Call: 11800 / Put: 11500
Bank Nifty Highest Open interest: (30th Aug 2018 Expiry)
Call: 28500 / Put: 28000
Securities in Ban Period: DHFL, IDBI, PNB
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Trade Setup For Thursday Top 15 Things To Know Before Opening Bell

Posted by suhani varma on Thursday, August 30, 2018 with No comments

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The Nifty50 after opening flat traded rangebound throughout the session but started correcting gradually in late morning deals. It fell below psychological 11,700-mark in the last half an hour of trade and closed tad below the same level on Wednesday.

The index formed bearish candle on the daily candlestick charts ahead of expiry of August futures & options contracts on Thursday.

But the broader markets outperformed frontline indices with the Nifty Midcap index rising half a percent while the sectoral trend was mixed with the Nifty Metal, PSU Bank and Realty indices climbing over a percent each.


The Nifty50 opened at 11,744.95 and closed at 11,691.90. In the morning, the index after flat opening dipped and immediately bounced back to hit an intraday high of 11,753.20 followed by volatility. It started correcting gradually in late morning deals and hit a day's low of 11,678.85 in late trade. The index closed 46.60 points lower at 11,691.90.

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Wednesday 29 August 2018

See Nifty Rallying To 11,850-11,925; These 3 Midcaps Can Return 5-18%

Posted by suhani varma on Wednesday, August 29, 2018 with No comments

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The Nifty continues to form higher highs and higher lows and closed at a fresh high. It is approaching the upper end of the rising channel placed at 11,830-11,850 levels. A sustained trade above 11,770 can extend the current upmove towards 11,850-11,925. However, a trade below 11,650 can trigger profit booking and can drag the index lower to 11,550, which is also the lower end of the channel.


Moreover, a close below 11,550 will trigger a breakdown from the channel which can lead to a correction to 11,500-11,400 levels. The relative strength index is comfortably placed in the bull zone which suggests further upside to 11,850-11,925 levels.

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The Indian equity market continued its winning streak with a gain of about 0.75 percent on a week-to-week basis and managed to sustain its upward rally ahead of tomorrow’s August F&O expiry. Ahead of this expiry session, the Nifty on Tuesday registered a fresh high of 11,760, despite a negative market breadth, and ended the session at a record close of 11,738.

Regardless of a drag on select banks and FMCG, the buying regime in energy and IT space assisted the index to break out to uncharted price levels. After forming a small bullish candlestick pattern on daily chart in the previous session, the index made a ‘Doji’ kind of a pattern as it managed to rebound near its opening level after profit-booking at higher levels.


The daily relative strength index stood at 75 indicating a positive divergence while the moving average convergence divergence continued to trade above the signal line. The index is likely to face resistance at 11,835-11,768 levels as per pivot point, while support level is placed at 11,570.

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Nifty Likely To Open Flat 3 Stocks Which Could Give Up To 12% Return

Posted by suhani varma on Wednesday, August 29, 2018 with No comments

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The Nifty50 is likely to open on a flat-to-positive note on Wednesday following positive trend seen in other Asian markets. The index closed 46 points higher at 11,738 on Tuesday.

Trends on SGX Nifty indicate a flat to negative opening for the broader index in India, a fall of 10 points or 0.09 percent. Nifty futures were trading around 11,749-level on the Singaporean Exchange.

The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq edged up to record closing highs for the third consecutive session as investors struggled over whether to take profits following a rally on positive developments in trade disputes which have vexed the markets, said a Reuters report.


Asian share markets were left in limbo on Wednesday as optimism over the US-Mexico trade deal was quickly replaced by caution ahead of a looming deadline on tariffs with China, the report added.

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