Monday 31 December 2018

Nifty Reclaims 10,900 Mark Indiabulls HF Tata Motors Stocks Gain

Posted by suhani varma on Monday, December 31, 2018 with No comments


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Equity benchmark indices extended rally for the fourth consecutive session, with the Nifty above 10,900 mark. The stock market opened higher on the last day of the year as global markets advanced following progress in US-China trade negotiations.

The Sensex was trading at 36,246, up 170 points, while the Nifty50 was ruling at 10,913, up 53 points. The market breadth is positive as 954 shares advanced, while 305 shares declined and 59 shares remained unchanged.

Indiabulls Housing Finance, Hindalco, Tata Motors, Vedanta and Tata Steel rose by up to nearly 1.5%, while HPCL, BPCL, NTPC, ONGC and Adani Ports stocks slipped in the morning trade.

The Indian rupee extended gains for the second day and appreciated as much as 0.27% to 69.74 against the greenback.

Cadila Healthcare stock gained 1%. Zydus Cadila has received the final approval from the US Food and Drug Administration (USFDA) to market Clindamycin Phosphate and Benzoyl Peroxide Gel, (US RLD - DUAC Gel), 1.2%/5%.

Bank of India stock rose 1.5% after the bank said the government has decided to infuse Rs10,086cr in the bank as part of Rs28,615cr capital infusion to be done in about half a dozen public sector lenders. 

Asian markets gained on Monday on expectation of some relief on the last day of 2018 after President Donald Trump reported “big progress” in trade talks with his Chinese counterpart. 

US stock markets halted a two-day rally on Friday as thin trading added to already volatile markets, though the S&P 500 Index held onto its first weekly gain in a month.

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SGX Nifty Indicating A Positive Opening In Line With Global Peers

Posted by suhani varma on Monday, December 31, 2018 with No comments



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SGX Nifty is at 10,965, up 45 points. For today, expect NAV propping on select mutual fund favorite stocks, as Nifty attempts to hit 11000. Mid caps could see better action as investors bet on earnings cycle upgrade in 2019.

Last week, Nifty saw another strong end on Friday after seeing US stocks rebound. The strength in the rupee coupled with falling yields all saw foreign investors return as buyers in November & December.

Global markets: Asian indices could see a bounce this Monday as President Trump tweets positive dialogue with President Xi, which could bode well for US/China talks in early 2019. US$ weakness could also see more action to buy Asian equities as valuations are at the lowest in almost 2 years given room for earnings upside.

US markets: US stocks see highest volatility this December as markets set to end 2018 on a weak note. Bond yields close near lows @ 2.71% as does Brent crude @US$ 53, with sharp sell-off from recent October highs @ 3.2% & US$86.

FII/DII Data: In Friday’s trading session FII’s sold 119cr stock in the cash market whereas DII’s bought 1199cr worth of stock. In the derivative market, FII’s bought 632cr of Index futures and bought 2595cr worth of Index options. In the Stock futures segment, FII’s bought 825cr worth of stock futures and bought 296cr stock options.

FII View: FIIs created bullish positions in derivative segment in first trading session of the Jan series which is deduced by the fact that they created 6249 long contracts in Index Futures while simultaneously creating 14262 long contracts in Index Call Options. The long-short ratio in Index Futures currently stands at 1.1x
 FIIOI
(in000's)
% Chg% Chg
Since Expiry
Long/
Short Ratio
Long/Short
 Since Expiry
Index Long154441.11.1
Index Short144(1)(1)
Index Call Long14711114.51.1
Index Call Short32(2)(2)
Index Put Long25313133.81.0
Index Put Short671010

Sensex, Nifty Eke Out Marginal Gains End Week In Green

Posted by suhani varma on Monday, December 31, 2018 with No comments


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It was a week of wild swings with the Nifty seen gyrating over 350 points. Indices danced to the tunes of global cues while crude oil, currency moves, and December F&O expiry added to the volatility.

Furthermore, the easing of tensions between the US government and the US Federal Reserve and hopes of US and China reaching a settlement over their trade dispute lifted market sentiment towards the weekend.

Meanwhile, India's fiscal deficit has surged past the set target despite government assurance. India’s fiscal deficit stood at Rs7.17 lakh cr during April-November or ~115% of its full-year target for FY18-19.

On the other hand, PSU Banks continued to remain in the limelight on reports that the government would infuse ~Rs28,600cr in seven public sector banks in order to help them meet the regulatory norms on maintaining adequate capital buffers.

Sector-wise, the Media index surged 3.6%, Energy gained 1.5%, Infra rose 1.5%, IT rose 1.25%, FMCG was up 1.1%, while the mid-cap and pharma indices edged higher by half a percent each. On the other hand, the realty index dropped 2.2%, Metal fell 1.6%, and the Auto index declined 1.2%.

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V-Shaped Recovery Lifts Nifty Above 10,850-Levels

Posted by suhani varma on Monday, December 31, 2018 with No comments


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Volatility led the Nifty to the dips of ~10,500 followed by a sharp V-shaped recovery which helped it reverse all its losses. The recent two-day fall failed to dent the overall structure for the index.

In fact, the Nifty respected its immediate previous low of 10,333 (which will now act as important support) hit on December 11 and has bounced back to form a higher low.

Going forward, 10,950-11,000 will act as an important resistance zone for the Nifty and a breach above this could lift the index towards 11,200-levels.

Bank Nifty, meanwhile, also reversed its losses to close the week with smart gains. Going ahead, 26,800 is going to act as important support and 27,500 will be a crucial resistance for the index.
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Friday 28 December 2018



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The persistent sell-off in the US market eventually put break on an ongoing optimism seen in our market and Nifty nosedived in last Friday’s session. During this week, Nifty tumbled further after forming a Bearish Divergence pattern and registered a low of 10,534.55 on Wednesday. Subsequently, the selling pressure exhausted and index saw decent recovery in line with the global peers.Looking at the daily chart, Wednesday’s low coincided with the lower band of Bollinger band which acted as an immediate support. At this juncture, Nifty retraced nearly 61.8% of its entire fall drawn from the top of 10,985.15 to the bottom of 10,534.55.

At this juncture, the volatility on index is significantly high, therefore, we are waiting for momentum to cool-off as reward-to-risk ratio at this point of time is not favourable. As far as the levels are concerned, 10,830–10,850 zone will be a strong resistance and any sustainable move beyond this level will allow Nifty to rally and retest its recent swing high of 10,985.15. On the flip side, 10,660 likely to act as an immediate support below which Nifty will slide further towards 10,500.

Rollovers from December to January series were inline were expectation. However, short rollovers were seen in metal, auto, cement and pharma sector and that will put pressure on market in short term. Minor pullback is expected in these sectors in the coming week, however, these short covering pullbacks will be short in nature and fresh shorts can be initiated at higher levels in these sectors whereas long rollovers were seen in PSU banking, NBFCs, capital goods and technology sectors and one can expect positive move in coming weeks in them.

On the higher side, aggressive call writing has been seen at 11,000 strike option and that will act as stiff supply zone for Nifty, whereas put writing at 10,500 will prove as strong support. Overall, we expected broader indices to trade in 10,500-10,950 range and breach of this range on either side will further set the direction of indices in short term.

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Nifty Opens Above 10,800 Mark Titan, Yes Bank Stocks Lead

Posted by suhani varma on Friday, December 28, 2018 with No comments


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Equity benchmark indices opened higher on Friday tracking global cues. The Nifty50 has begun the January series above the 10,800 mark, up over 68 points in opening trade, while the Sensex jumped 227 points to 36,035.

The rupee rebounded by 30 paise to open at 70.05 against the US dollar.

The market breadth is positive as 882 shares advanced, while 263 shares declined, and 64 shares remained unchanged.

Asian Paints, Vedanta, Titan and Yes Bank gained in today’s morning session, while Coal India, ONGC and BPCL lost the most.

Mid and smallcap shares rose broadly in line with their larger peers as the BSE MidCap and BSE SmallCap Indices rose 0.45% each.

Shares of Lemon Tree jumped 8% after it entered into a joint venture with Warburg Pincus.

On the sectoral front, all sectors except metals are trading in the green, with maximum gains visible among banks, pharmaceuticals, and automobiles stocks.

Asian stock markets were trading mixed on Friday after a volatile session in global financial markets failed to boost confidence. 

Meanwhile, oil rebounded by as much as 3% after rising US crude inventories pushed prices lower in the previous session -- underscoring concerns that a supply glut will continue to weigh on the market.

US stocks roared back to end in the positive territory on Thursday, with the Dow rising 1.14%, after suffering steep losses for most of the session.


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SGX Nifty Indicates Gap Up Opening For Markets

Posted by suhani varma on Friday, December 28, 2018 with No comments

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SGX Nifty is at 10876 levels, up 67 points. For today, expect the new series to see more emphasis on mid caps as we see the trading favorite bounce back smartly.


On Thursday, Nifty saw the last expiry of derivative contracts end near 10800 as it closed in the positive for second day running. The last hour saw more profit booking as European indices traded very weak in anticipation of weak US futures. For today, expect the new series to see more emphasis on mid caps as we see the trading favorite bounce back smartly.


Global markets: The Japanese Nikkei saw mild profit booking after a superb rally yesterday, while the other Asian indices traded in the green taking positive cues from the sharp pull back in US indices. Expect year end blues with low participation taking a toll on market moves with sentiment extremely fragile after the recent bouts of volatility.


US markets: Dow Jones reverses from down 600 to close up 260 points as US indices have biggest reversal in 10 years. Low volumes, year end blues see indices swing wildly as markets attempt to bottom out. US$ sees further weakness which should bode well for emerging markets.


FII/DII Data: In yesterday’s trading session FIIs bought 1731cr stock in the cash market whereas DIIs sold 663cr worth of stock. In the derivative market, FIIs bought 1040cr of Index futures and sold 1812cr worth of Index options. In the Stock futures segment, FIIs bought 669cr worth of stock futures and bought 293cr stock options.

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Thursday 27 December 2018

Nifty Reclaims 10,800 Mark Ahead Of F&O Expiry

Posted by suhani varma on Thursday, December 27, 2018 with No comments


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Equity benchmark indices opened higher tracking positive global cues, after Asian markets rallied following major gains seen on Wall Street yesterday. Today’s rally is being led by Reliance Industries, HDFC Bank, and ICICI Bank ahead of the expiry of December futures and option contracts later in the day.

Yes Bank, Sun Pharma, and Indiabulls Housing gained the most, while Power Grid, Asian Paints, HPCL and BPCL have lost the most on the NSE.

The Sensex jumped over 352 points to 36,002, while the Nifty rose to 10,818, up by 88 points.

Sun Pharma gained 1% after its arm "Dusa Pharmaceuticals" got awarded Preliminary Injunctive Relief by the US Federal district court prohibiting defendants Biofrontera from using Dusa’s proprietary trade secret information.
Hindustan Unilever advanced 1% after the company clarified on the news of the GST Anti-Profiteering Authority finding the company guilty of profiteering Rs383cr; the company stated that no methodology has been determined by National Anti-Profiteering Authority as required under the law to identify if the benefit has been passed on.

The Indian rupee opened lower by 13 paise at 70.20/$.

Volatility index India VIX slipped 1.36% to 15.70.

The most active stocks were TCS, Indiabulls HF, Reliance Industries, Infosys, Yes Bank, and RCom.

Asian stock markets rose on Thursday following an overnight gain in stocks on Wall Street. Japan's Nikkei 225 surged 3.7%, while the Topix jumped 4.4% as the two indices climbed after their Christmas Day tumble. 

Elsewhere, crude oil prices gave up gains of more than 8% overnight. Ten-year Treasury yields are holding around 2.80%. The yen recouped some of yesterday’s losses against the dollar.

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Market Live: Sensex Opens Nearly 300 Points Higher Nifty Hits 10,800 OMCs Fall

Posted by suhani varma on Thursday, December 27, 2018 with No comments


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Market opens It is a solid start for equities on Thursday morning, tracking global cues. The Nifty hit 10,800, while the Sensex has also risen around 300 points. 

Among sectors, all of them are in the green, with maximum gains visible among banks, consumption, IT, and metals, among others. 

The Sensex is up 289.36 points or 0.81% at 35939.30, while the Nifty is higher by 84.60 points or 0.79% at 10814.50. The market breadth was positive as 357 shares advanced, against a decline of 78 shares, while 17 shares were unchanged.

Yes Bank, Sun Pharma, and Indiabulls Housing gained the most, while Power Grid, Asian Paints, HPCL and BPCL have lost the most

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Wednesday 26 December 2018

Market Live: Sensex Plunges Nearly 400 Points Nifty Around 10,550 OMC Stocks Gain

Posted by suhani varma on Wednesday, December 26, 2018 with No comments


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Maruti Suzuki To Proactively Recall 5900 Super Carry Vehicles

With customer safety as its top priority, Maruti Suzuki India announced to proactively and voluntarily undertake a recall campaign for certain Super Carry vehicles. "Recall campaigns are undertaken globally to rectify faults that may be potential safety defects."

The company said it would inspect a possible defect in fuel filter of 5900 Super Carry vehicles manufactured between 26th April 2018 and 1st August 2018. This also include vehicles in which fuel filter has been replaced in field during this period.

UST IN | Bank of Baroda will be seeking shareholder nod for issuing 10 crore fresh shares to employees and directors on January 21. 

Lupin shares slipped nearly 2 percent in morning on Wednesday after global brokerage house PhillipCapital has reiterated sell call on the stock with a target price at Rs 670, implying 20 percent potential downside.

The research house expects company's Q3FY19 earnings to remain weak and estimates 22 percent YoY decline in earnings.

"Growth challenges in US on price erosion & competition is a concern while key plants are under warning letter & will impact approval rate for near future," PhillipCapital said.

The pharma major had reported a massive 41.2 percent fall in September quarter profit to Rs 268.5 crore, dented by lower operating income and US business.

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Nifty Slips Below 10,600 Mar; Yes Bank, Sun Pharma Stocks Decline

Posted by suhani varma on Wednesday, December 26, 2018 with No comments


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Equity benchmark indices opened lower on Wednesday as global stock markets remained under selling pressure over political uncertainty in the US and worries of global economic slowdown.

Index heavyweight Hindustan Unilever slipped over 2%, while Hindalco, Sun Pharma, Gail, Infosys slipped by up to 1%.

The Nifty opened just above 10,600, however, it slipped below 10,600 mark dipping more than 74 points, while the Sensex plunged 277 points at 35,193.

The rupee opened higher at 69.93 per dollar against Monday's close of 70.14 after Brent crude dropped below $50/Barrel.

Public sector oil marketing companies HPCL, BPCL and IOC gained by up to 1% on the back of lower crude oil prices.

On the sectoral front, selling pressure were witnessed in automobiles, IT, metals and pharma stocks. 

Asian Paints, Yes Bank, IOC and BPCL were the top gainers, while HUL, Tata Steel, and Hindalco lost the most.

Vedanta stock down 1% on the NSE. The company said it will set up a new steel plant in Jharkhand with a capacity of 4.5 mn tonne (MT) per annum at an investment of $3-4 bn.

Volatility index India VIX gained 5% at 16.54.

The most active stocks were Indiabulls HF, Jubilant Food, Yes Bank, HUL, and Infosys.

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Markets To Open Negative Tracking SGX Nifty

Posted by suhani varma on Wednesday, December 26, 2018 with No comments


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SGX Nifty is at 10618 level. For today, we expect higher volatility as we have expiry tomorrow. We should see a weaker start with the second half likely to witnessing a value buying and short covering. 

On Monday, the Nifty saw another down day in line with global cues as profit booking continued even as local funds bought stock. The expiry of derivative contracts coupled with holiday-shortened week saw the global weakness spread to Indian stocks with metals, reality, and media stocks taking a beating.

Global markets: The Japanese Nikkei saw its worst December on the record as it fell over 5% on Christmas day trading below the 20,000-mark. For today, we are seeing some pull-back, which is evident from being heavily oversold positions. Other Asian indices may also trade with higher volatility as yearend collateral selling takes a toll on leveraged investors and institutions.

US markets: US stocks witnessed the worst December in many decades as sentiment hits bottom. Markets react negatively to President Trump 'tweets' as he criticizes Federal Reserve over monitory policy and blames Democrats for the government spending bill passage. Brent oil hits $50/barrels as it adds to bearishness due to lower global growth forecast.

FII/DII Data: In Monday’s trading session, FIIs sold 577cr stock in the cash market, whereas DIIs bought 186cr worth of stock. In the derivative market, FIIs bought 205cr of Index futures and bought 1688cr worth of Index options. In the Stock futures segment, FIIs sold 645cr worth of stock futures and sold 185cr stock options.

FII View: FIIs reduced their positions in Index Futures in Monday’s trading session, which is deduced by the fact that they closed out 6374 short contracts in the segment. However, they created 23217 long contracts in Index Put Options. The long-short ratio in Index Futures currently stands at 0.8x since the start of the December series which is a bearish sign.


 FIIOI
(in000's)
% Chg% Chg
Since Expiry
Long/
Short Ratio
Long/Short
 Since Expiry
Index Long188(1)340.90.8
Index Short209(3)58
Index Call Long244(1)272.60.9
Index Call Short95(6)49
Index Put Long4166652.71.1
Index Put Short157256