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It seems the football world cups' ‘champions curse’ holds true on D-Street as well. Anecdotal evidence suggests that leaders of previous bull markets usually struggle in the post-bull market stage.
A note by Kotak draws parallels between the football world cup and the D-Street which have one common similarity – inconsistency. The inglorious exit of defending champions in the first round of the last six football world cups has some remarkable parallels in the Indian stock market and perhaps life, Kotak Institutional Equities said in a note.
The leaders of a bull cycle usually struggle over the next few years. However, ‘champion’ stocks like champion football teams usually make a comeback. On the other hand, owners of ‘expensive’ stocks may want to keep football history in mind.
Defending champions have a history of crashing out of the tournament in the first round (France - 2002, Italy - 2010, Spain - 2014 and Germany - 2018).
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