Friday, 30 November 2018

Nifty Reclaims 10,900 Mark Tata Motors Drops 2%

Posted by suhani varma on Friday, November 30, 2018 with No comments


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Equity benchmark indices opened higher for fifth consecutive session, with Nifty trading above 10,900 mark, up over 51 points. The Sensex gained 195 points at 36,365 led by Reliance Industries, Infosys, HDFC, Yes Bank and HUL.

On the sectoral front, consumption, IT and energy stocks are in the green, while the auto index is showing weakness today.

The Indian rupee strengthened for the fourth day and appreciated by 13 paise to 69.71/$.

NBFC stocks gained in today’s trade on investors hope of relaxation of holding requirement norms after the RBI relaxed the same for NBFCs.

Shares of Tata Motors slipped 2%. British luxury carmaker Jaguar Land Rover (JLR) has announced that it will temporarily halt production at its engine factory in Wolverhampton (UK) to adjust for low demand. 

Shares of Repco Home Finance dropped 3% after Mohnish Pabrai’s fund sold 9.5 lakh shares of Repco Home Finance on Thursday via a bulk deal.

Yes Bank, Indiabulls Housing Finance, GAIL, ZEE, and Bajaj Finance were the top Nifty gainers, while Tata Motors, Bharti Infratel, Adani Ports, Titan, and HDFC Bank were among the top losers.

The BSE Midcap index and BSE Smallcap were trading higher by 0.55%, respectively.

Volatility index India VIX is down 4.15% to 17.92.

The most active stocks were Yes Bank,Indiabulls HF, DHFL, Bajaj Finance, ICICI Bank, and RCOM.

On the international front, oil prices firmed as traders expected OPEC and Russia to agree on production cuts next week.

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SGX Nifty is at 10,925, up 29 points. For today, we expect the new series to see more ascent on the broader markets, while Nifty consolidates.

Yesterday, Nifty saw a sharp rally on the last day of the derivative contracts for November marking the month to be the best of 2018. Bear covering along with value buying saw Nifty close near 10900 as foreign investors turned strong buyers this month. Rupee closed at 69.8, the highest since August with bond yields hitting 7.6%.

Global markets: Asian indices opened in the red after seeing the best weekly rally in months as profit booking emerged before the G-20 meet on Saturday. The change in tone of the Federal Reserve to 'dovish' from 'hawkish' will see more liquidity globally with emerging markets set to see outperformance after underperforming for most of 2018.

US markets: US indices end mildly in the red as markets digest Wednesday's big gains. Oil prices bounce back as OPEC considers supply cuts, while President Trump indicates positive outcome of trade talks with China.

FII/DII Data: In yesterday’s trading session FIIs bought 823cr stock in the cash market whereas DIIs bought 973cr worth of stock. In the derivative market, FIIs bought 3302 crore of Index futures and bought 2263cr worth of Index options. In the Stock futures segment, FII’s bought 657cr worth of stock futures and bought 200cr stock options.

FII View: FIIs reduced their bearish position in the derivative segment in yesterday trading session. They reduced 124654 short contracts in Index Futures while simultaneously reducing 204169 long contracts in Index Put Options.

FIIOI
(in000's)
% Chg% Chg
Since Expiry
Long/
Short Ratio
Long/Short
 Since Expiry
Index Long140(26)01.11.0
Index Short132(49)0
Index Call Long192(29)03.01.0
Index Call Short64(27)0
Index Put Long252(45)02.51.0
Index Put Short101(50)0

Thursday, 29 November 2018



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After a consecutive decline for the last three days, the Nifty resumed its upward journey on Monday, where Nifty registered a triple-digit gain to close at 10,629 levels.


Moreover, Nifty bounced back from the strong support level of 10,490, which is placed at 38.2% retracement of the entire upswing from the boom of 10,004 seen on October 26, 2018 to the high of 10,775 recorded on November 19.


The Nifty is also trading above its 20-DMA, placed at 10,507 levels. Moreover, higher tops and higher bottoms are well intact and the Nifty is also trading above the Supertrend indicator on the daily charts.

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What a day for Indian markets! After a muted start we saw bulls which took control over D-Street in the second half of the trading session.

The finally tally -- the S&P BSE Sensex rose 373 points to close at 35, 354 while the Nifty50 rallied 101 points to end at 10,628.

The recent correction in crude oil prices and subsequent recovery in rupee has raised hope of status quo by the RBI in review meeting next month, suggest experts.


Also, Morgan Stanley maintains an overweight stance on India also added to optimism.

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SGX Nifty Indicates Gap Up Opening For Markets Ahead Of Nov Series Expiry

Posted by suhani varma on Thursday, November 29, 2018 with No comments

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SGX Nifty is at 10815, up 100 points. We expect another gap up opening for derivative contracts on the last day of expiry, as we end the November series at the highest point of the month.
On Wednesday, Nifty saw a strong session led by fresh bouts of buying from foreign investors, who bought stocks aggressively as rupee got stronger with the recent bout of oil weakness. Expiry related volatility saw IT stocks outperform led by Infosys and TCS.
Global markets: Asian indices opened with gains as the overnight Federal Reserve Chairman commentary on moderation in rate hikes push most indices higher. The real effect of a weaker dollar could see huge gains for emerging markets ex-Japan as investors chase higher returns. Emerging markets could also doubly benefit from a stronger currency and lower oil prices. 
US markets: US indices jump over 2% as Federal Reserve sounds dovish on rate hikes going forward. Bond yields fall along with the dollar as investors rush to buy stocks. US oil inventories also witnessed gains, which sees crude prices fall below $59 and adds to stock outperformance. 

FII/DII Data: In the yesterday’s trading session, FIIs bought 961cr stock in the cash market, whereas DIIs sold 330cr worth of stock. In the derivative market, FIIs bought 1067cr of Index futures and sold 95cr worth of Index options. In the Stock futures segment, FIIs sold 570cr worth of stock futures and purchased 105cr in stock options.
FII View: FIIs created bullish position in the Index Futures segment, which is deduced by the fact that they created 4920 fresh long contracts, while simultaneously reducing 8760 short contracts. However, considering the volatility in the market they also purchased 22494 long contracts in Index Put Options.

FIIOI
(in000's)
% Chg% Chg
Since Expiry
Long/
Short Ratio
Long/Short
 Since Expiry
Index Long18931140.71.8
Index Short257(3)20
Index Call Long272(8)663.11.1
Index Call Short87(8)56
Index Put Long4565932.30.9
Index Put Short2035117


Tuesday, 27 November 2018



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The Indian benchmark indices is trading on a flat note this Tuesday morning with the Nifty50 down 8 points, trading at 10,620 while the Sensex is down 19 points at 35,334.

Nifty metal is down over 1 percent dragged by JPSL, Hindalco Industries, JSW Steel, NALCO, SAIL, Tata Steel and NALCO.

Media stocks are also weak dragged by EROS International Media which is down close to 4 percent followed by Zee Entertainment and TV18 Broadcast.

From the oil & gas space, GAIL India is trading in the green while Reliance Industries has added half a percent.

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What a day for Indian markets! After a muted start we saw bulls which took control over D-Street in the second half of the trading session.

The finally tally -- the S&P BSE Sensex rose 373 points to close at 35, 354 while the Nifty50 rallied 101 points to end at 10,628.

The recent correction in crude oil prices and subsequent recovery in rupee has raised hope of status quo by the RBI in review meeting next month, suggest experts.


Also, Morgan Stanley maintains an overweight stance on India also added to optimism.

Sectorally, auto, banks, FMCG sector rose 1-2 percent respectively while on the losing side PSU, Healthcare, and Metal stocks saw some bit of profit taking.

Technically, bulls would only be able to take charge once the index close above 10774 levels.

On the downsides 10489 shall remain a critical support

Rupee breaks 7-day winning run, down 18 paise at 70.87 a dollar

FIIs bought Rs 62 crore worth of Indian Capital Market while DII poured in Rs 351 crore on Monday, according to provision data on NSE.


Frontline Stocks Propel Indices Higher Bank Nifty Outperforms

Posted by suhani varma on Tuesday, November 27, 2018 with No comments


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Markets witnessed a volatile trading session, with the Nifty posting a smart recovery in the second half of the session and managing to close near the high point of the day. The Nifty ended the day 101 points higher at 10,628 led by broad-based buying, especially in FMCG stocks which was the best performing sectoral index ending the day 2.36% higher.

However, the star performer in today's trade was Bank Nifty, which ended the session 366 points higher at 26,365 driven by strong gains in HDFC Bank, Axis Bank, and Indusind Bank. Yes Bank, too, witnessed a strong recovery closing at 191.5 levels after hitting an intraday low of 182.2.

Tracking the derivative data points, Nifty and Bank Nifty Futures witnessed a surge in open interest to the tune of 4.78% and 21.48%, respectively, mainly fresh long positions.

On the options front, put writing was witnessed in all the major out-of-the money strikes, with 10500PE adding ~ 13 lakh shares in open interest resulting in the highest open interest base shifting from 10000PE to 10500PE in the Nov series. 

India Vix ended the day 6.4% lower at 20.4
Nifty +101 points @10,628
Bank Nifty+366 points @26,365
Top 2 F&O GainerAdani Power, Hero MotoCorp
Top 2 F&O LoserJindal Steel, DHFL
Most Active Index Option Contract
Call Option10600CE, O.I: ~-6 lakh shares
Put Option10500PE, O.I: ~+13 lakh shares
Nifty Max O.I Strikes10700CE, 10500PE

SGX Nifty Indicating A Negative Start For The Indian Markets

Posted by suhani varma on Tuesday, November 27, 2018 with No comments



SGX Nifty is at 10,591, down 56 points. For today, we expect more consolidation on the Nifty as it sees smart rebound from recent lows with mid caps out performing.

Yesterday, Nifty saw a sharp recovery from the mid session lows of 10489 to close near the highs of 10637. The intra day recovery was led by financials, FMCG and IT, while pharma and metals met with selling pressure. The higher volatility was also attributed to derivative contracts expiry due this Thursday. 

Global markets: Asian indices opened with minor gains as the Japanese Nikkei traded up by 100 points. Most asian indices recorded smart gains yesterday in anticipation of US indices pull back with the Hang Seng up nearly 2%. For today, we expect consolidation as most investors will be eyeing the trade talks between US-China Presidents’ on Friday even as early rhetoric from President Trump on imposition of higher tariffs on cell phones from China could see some stock specific reaction today. 

US markets: US indices bounce back as crude oil rallies with stocks seeing value buying from over sold territory. Crucial US-China meet this Friday on trade talks could set the agenda for a early Christmas rally next week globally as stocks offer immense value after steep correction.

FII/DII Data: In yesterday’s trading session FIIs bought 62cr stock in the cash market whereas DIIs bought 351cr worth of stock. In the derivative market, FIIs sold 167cr of Index futures and bought 1821cr worth of Index options. In the Stock futures segment, FIIs bought 475cr worth of stock futures and sold 126cr stock options.

FII View: Marginally bearish positions were created by FIIs in yesterday’s trading session in Index Futures which is deduced by the fact that they created 6000 net short contracts however, they built 14488 fresh long contracts in Index Call Options.
FIIOI
(in000's)
% Chg% Chg
Since Expiry
Long/
Short Ratio
Long/Short
 Since Expiry
Index Long19461210.71.8
Index Short265724
Index Call Long3085883.01.0
Index Call Short104(8)85
Index Put Long443(1)882.20.9
Index Put Short198(3)112

Monday, 26 November 2018

Nifty Hovers Around 10,550 Mark HDFC Bank Reliance Industries Gain

Posted by suhani varma on Monday, November 26, 2018 with No comments

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Equity benchmark indices opened higher on Monday tracking strong Asian cues and lower crude oil prices. OMC stocks gained today on lower crude oil prices. Shares of HPCL, BPCLand IOC were trading higher in the range of 2-1%.

On the sectoral front, FMCG, banking, auto and financial services were trading higher in today’s session, while IT, metal and realty were in the negative zone.

The Indian rupee opened higher by 23 paise at 70.46 against the US dollar.

BPCL, Infratel, HPCL, Bharti Airtel and IOC were the top Nifty gainers, while Yes Bank, Adani Ports, Infosys, Tech Mahindra and Kotak Mahindra Bank were among the top losers.

The BSE Sensex was up 43 points at 35,023, and the Nifty gained 29 points at 10,555.

The BSE Midcap index is trading 0.23% up, while the BSE Smallcap has risen 0.15%.

Volatility index India VIX is down 1.1% to 18.94.

The most active stocks were Yes Bank, Infosys, HPCL, IOC and Reliance Industries.

Shares of GPT Infra rose 5% after company bagged an order worth Rs159.8c.

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